Probably. The risk profile may be reflected by the bond yield curve, not ruble value.Caused by the foreign purchase of Russian oil having to be in in rubles I would think.
Russia had money reserves of $B606 in March and $B611 by the end of April. That is indeed the energy export profits. If they get paid in rubles the demand for rubbles increases, if they get paid in dollars the supply of dollar increases in Russia. Both strengthen the ruble I believe. But I digress.I go by standard economics rather than too complex speculation. Supply and demand are simple to understand. My thoughts were, why would anyone be buying rubles right now with the uncertainties affecting the economy and the liquidity via potentially failing banks. Well really only those who are forced the buy in a very large transaction, rubles to make the purchase. Oil/Gas?